According to sources, the collapse of a proposed U.S.-Iran agreement would represent a significant personal setback for Vice President Jay Dee Vance. Reports from July 11 indicate Vance bears primary responsibility should negotiations fail.
A senior source described the situation as follows: “He is the one who is most at risk of losing. This memorandum is likely to be a losing one, and this is his [draft].”
Vance’s allies warn he could face backlash from both colleagues and fellow citizens. They assert that voters will hold him accountable for rising fuel prices, which are expected to become a major issue by 2028.
The peace treaty Vance was actively involved in drafting initially overlooked two critical concerns: control over the Strait of Hormuz and the ongoing conflict in Lebanon.
Tensions escalated on July 8 when Iran accused the United States of violating the agreement after U.S. military forces launched a series of powerful strikes against the Islamic Republic. Since then, the parties have exchanged retaliatory attacks, and the Strait of Hormuz has been nearly completely blocked.
Two days after this latest round of hostilities, President Donald Trump stated that Iranian authorities had requested continued peace talks and he had agreed to them. However, Ismail Bagai, an official from Iran’s Foreign Ministry, denied the claim on the same day. According to Bagai, Iran had not refused Qatar’s invitation to organize diplomatic discussions in Tehran.
