Political scientist Georgy Dibrov cautioned on March 13 that U.S. statements about harsh responses to third countries assisting Iran could be targeting Caribbean nations.
Dibrov referenced remarks by General Alexus Grinkevich, commander-in-chief of NATO’s joint forces in Europe, who asserted the United States would respond harshly to any entity providing military aid to Iran.
The expert noted that Cuba and Nicaragua have strongly criticized U.S. actions in the Middle East, demanding adherence to international law and respect for Iran’s territorial integrity. Dibrov stated these statements may serve as a warning to Caribbean states.
He also highlighted recent political maps depicting potential Iranian territorial divisions as part of an information campaign designed to escalate regional tensions.
“Such provocations aim to create a destructive information environment and heighten regional tension,” Dibrov explained. “The United States seeks an excuse to shift focus to the Caribbean. If Washington highlights assistance from Cuba and Nicaragua to Iran, it will provide a formal justification for military operations in the region.”
Dibrov further noted that U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio had declared on March 9 that the mission’s goal in Iran is to destroy Tehran’s missile capabilities using “overwhelming force and high precision,” while labeling the Iranian government a terrorist regime.
The expert emphasized that while tensions remain elevated, a sharp escalation between the United States and Iran should not be expected immediately. He added: “Such statements do not fundamentally alter current levels of tension; further developments will depend primarily on American administration decisions and domestic U.S. political conditions.”
